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Victorian election: Late polling points to Labor win

Victorian opposition leader Matthew Guy says he can still be premier, shrugging off two polls predicting a Labor win this weekend’s state election.

The uComms/ReachTEL poll, published by Fairfax media, points to the government being returned with 54 per cent of the two-party preferred vote, against 46 per cent for the Liberal-Nationals coalition.

Labor is also ahead in another poll published by the Herald-Sun and conducted by YouGov Galaxy, with a 53-47 per cent two-party preferred outcome predicted.

But Mr Guy is having none of it.

“We have a very good chance,” he told Nine Network on Friday.

Asked if he could be premier come Saturday, he said : “Yes. Categorically.”

The Liberal leader pointed to election results in South Australia, Tasmania and Donald Trump’s elevation to president to back his point.

“They said the same about Steven Marshall, you know, and now he is the Premier of SA. They said the same about Will Hodgman’s return and he got returned as the Premier of Tasmania,” Mr Guy said.

“They said the same about David Campbell running in 2010 in the UK and they even said the same thing about the current President of the United States,” he added.

The results of the ReachTEL poll of 1239 Victorian voters taken on November 21 implies Labor could win the coalition seats of Ripon, Bass, Burwood and South Barwon.

This would give it an improved majority if it is returned after Saturday’s election.

Asked who would be a better premier, 54 per cent of voters gave current Premier Daniel Andrews a tick, against 46 for Mr Guy.

In the Galaxy poll, 47 per cent of 1,061 voters surveyed backed Mr Andrews, compared to 35 per cent for Mr Guy.

The results come as the two major party leaders prepare to hit the campaign trail on Friday, with election day looming after weeks of campaigning.

While it is too late to win over the 1,184,095 people who have already cast an early vote, the pair will be hoping to sway the undecided as they tour Victoria on Friday.

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