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No rate cut expected from RBA

The Reserve Bank is chilling out on cutting the cash rate – at least until next year.

All 13 economists surveyed by AAP expect the RBA to keep the cash rate at two per cent at its December meeting on Tuesday, but six are predicting that there will be a cut early in 2016.

In a speech last week, RBA governor Glenn Stevens indicated that he is is still prepared to reduce the cash rate again, if needed, after cutting it in February and May.

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“I’m more than content to lower it if that actually helps, but is that the best thing to do at a particular time?” Mr Stevens told an Australian Business Economists (ABE) dinner.

“As for February, that’s three months away, we’ve got Christmas, we should just chill out and see what the (economic) data says.”

Recent good economic data, including the unemployment rate falling to a six-month low, has caused the chances of another interest rate cut to plummet.

HSBC Australia chief economist Paul Bloxham said it was unusual for the RBA governor to be so blunt about an upcoming interest rate decision.

“One thing is clear: the RBA does not want to cut further. Otherwise, it would have done so already,” he said.

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